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Hurricane forecasts exhibit more uncertainty than normal: Moody’s RMS

May 31, 2023


Moody’s Risk Management Services (RMS) highlighted that this year’s hurricane forecasts are experiencing heightened uncertainty, attributed to various factors influencing the predictions.

The forecasts take into account crucial oceanic and climate factors that have historically impacted hurricane activity in the region, namely the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and North Atlantic sea surface temperatures.

As the 2023 North Atlantic hurricane season commences on June 1, forecasting agencies and groups have issued their seasonal outlooks, offering a glimpse into the anticipated level of activity for the upcoming months.

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